Forex Technical and Fundamental Analysis for August 8, 2011
The EUR/USD pair rose on Friday as traders dumped the USD around the markets. The pair stopped short of the 1.4350 area. The pair has been very volatile, and as such hasn’t been one of our favorite pairs to trade. The Euro has an almost uncountable amount of issues behind it, and because of this we won’t buy this pair. If we get a nice sell signal at either 1.4350 or 1.45 – we will not hesitate to do so.
EUR/USD Daily Fundamental Analysis for August 8, 2011
The EUR/USD will start the week on Monday with heavy volatility as the market continues to react to the nonfarm payrolls and the weekend meetings between euro area leaders to contain the debt crisis.
The volatility is high and the jitters over the outlook for the recovery and the worsening debt crisis keeps the bias evident towards haven assets with the yen and franc suffering the excessive rally and pressuring the central banks to move, while gold settles at its records high.
Trichet announced that the ECB will extend the liquidity provisions with the new six-month tender while expanding the current REFI operations till the end of the year to ease market jitters and rising tension. The president did not dispel the bond program and said it is ongoing and even news suggested the bank already bought Irish and Portuguese bonds, which Trichet hinted as a possibility and bonds surely moved higher opposed to the weak euro.
On Monday, the market will turn to assess its impact and see how it affected the market as the ECB releases their weekly bond buying and whether it remained dormant for the 19 week or indeed the ECB purchased bonds last week.
The week will start light with no data queued for release from both the euro area and the United States which leaves the market volatility and choppy trading dominant with the focus on slowing growth and deepening debt crisis ahead of the FOMC decision and the speculation on whether the Federal Reserve will act or not.
The AUD/USD had a fairly flat day in the markets as the day ended up almost unchanged on Friday. The low on Friday ended up being a fresh lower low, and that tells us that more than likely we will see lower prices in the future. The trading signal would be a break below the low on Friday. However, the highs being broken to the upside could send this pair upward for a bounce. That bounce would more than likely be sold by traders as the new low makes it obvious that the pair wants to fall over the long run.
Technical Stock Charts - News
Technical chart breakdown – Charts of stock market indices in the US, Europe and other major countries show a technical breakdown. Various bearish patterns have been emerging, like the S&P 500 which broke down from a head and shoulders top.
The pair is decidedly weak, and the area has produced reactions lately – so we are paying attention to the shorter-time frame charts in order to get a sell signal. The pair certainly wants to fall, but the current volatility in the markets makes the
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RT @: Panic in the streets: Technical chart breakdown – Charts of stock market indices in the US, Europe and other maj... 
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